Roger Federer - Andy Murray

Sunday 31.1.2010 ATP Tennis - Australian Open Final

The finale of the first Grand Slam tournament of the year 2010 is about to be finished and the final offers a huge value for betting.

Roger Federer has played consistent tennis so far. His only bigger troubes were against Russian Nikolay Davydenko, who against he was losing a set and break. Federer revealed his mental strength and came back.

Andy Murray has been also consistent. His form has been up. He does no many mistakes, his serve is working well what is good since his second serve brought many times troubles for him. Overall the both players have shown relaxed and good tennis so far.

Federer has the edge, what comes to the experience in Grand Slam finals but I cannot see any other edges for him. Murray is bad match-up for Federer. Murray holds his mentality and plays the important points well. He moves well on the court, has a good return game but is also able to hit winners. This is problematic for Federer because he has no one really strong part in his game. He is one of the best players ever but his stregths are the angles and hit selection he is able to use. If his opponent is able to push him a bit more, what is very hard, starts Federer to do higher amount unforced errors than usually. Murray can push Federer and the gameintelligence of Murray is high. I think he can easily chance his gameplan during the game what is always hard for the opponent.

Both players seem to have high self confidence and near their best form. The head to head record is 7-4 for the benefit of Murray. It tells pretty much the story. He is hard opponent for Federer to play against but both have chances to win the game. I hope it will be a great match. Small differences act a great role in the end result and Murray has proved that when the match has been equal, he has been able to play the important points better against Federer since when Federer has won the sets are 9-1 for his benefit but when Murray has won Federer, the six of these meetings have ended in three sets. So I think the longer the match goes the better are the chances of Murray but if it is Federer's day he takes the match without losing a set or one set at maximum. Anyway they are equal against each others so 2.47 definitely represents some big value.

Pick Andy Murray 2.47 9/10