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sunnuntai 28. maaliskuuta 2010

David Nalbandian - Rafael Nadal

Sunday 28.3.2010

Nalbandian came back lately after his injury. His shot angles have been later dangerous for Nadal and his gamestyle as well. It is understandable he is not in his best form yet, Nadal plays not on his highest level but he is still righteous favourite but odds which are this high are insane.

Pick David Nalbandian 4.80 5/10

lauantai 13. maaliskuuta 2010

Nikolay Davydenko - Ernests Gulbis

13.3.2010 Saturday - Tennis ATP

Davydenko has never done well in Indian Wells, the court does not suit for his game. Gulbis is in strong form. The serve of Gulbis works well and his gamestyle might bring troubles for Davydenko who plays his first match after his retired match because of his left wrist.

Pick Ernests Gulbis 3.35 4/10

perjantai 12. maaliskuuta 2010

Milwaukee Bucks - Utah Jazz

12.3.2010 Friday - NBA

Bucks have high selfconfidence at the moment, thanks for their good streak. At the moment anything seems to be possible them after they won big teams Cavaliers and Celtics at home. The spot was bad for these teams. Cavaliers rested LeBron and this gave a signal about the meanigfulness of the match for the rest of the team and Celtics were in bad form enough. Celtics had a good lead but they lost it and on the next day they lost at home against Grizzlies with big numbers.

Jazz is a decent visitor and as I previously wrote to Bucks vs Celtics match that Bucks should not be favoured, is the story the same this time also expect in their current form Jazz should be way better than Celtics who were a disappointment.

Jazz has won Bucks nine times during the last ten encounters and I think the history will repeat itself this time.

Pick Utah Jazz 2.00 6/10

keskiviikko 10. maaliskuuta 2010

Shuai Peng - Ekaterina Makarova

10.3.2010 Wedensday - Tennis WTA

Peng makes her comeback after her appendicitis operation what happened 31.1. Usually you have to be more careful for three weeks after the operation and the full recovery takes 1-2 weeks. Now the passed time is a bit under one and half months so I believe she can not be in good form. At the end of the last season Peng won players as Sharapova and Jankovic but that form can not be compared to the form of today.

Makarova has shown nothing too promising but now she has a good chance to go for the second round. She is lefty and since the players have not faced before her serve might offer to the start problems for Peng. Peng is so far in Indian Wells 4-5 and Makarova 2-2.

Pick Ekaterina Makarova 2.50 3/10

Dallas Mavericks - New Jersey Nets

10.3.2010 Wednesday - NBA

I do not like to watch linestats too often while betting but this time the previous lines effect much to the decision to bet. While Mavericks have been high favourite the underdog covers the line when we check the nearhistory. Nets have covered the line effectively too in their last matches. Mavericks are at the moment a hot team but Nets have started to play better too and because of the last season transfers Nets should have some motivation to get a good result from this match.

Pick New Jersey Nets +11 1.95 4/10

tiistai 9. maaliskuuta 2010

Milwaukee Bucks - Boston Celtics

9.3.2010 Tuesday - NBA

Bucks are hot team at the moment since they have 9-1 record in their last 10 matches. Celtics have been struggling lately. They lost against Nets and against Wizards they were in trouble again.

Anyway from the wins of Bucks in their good streak only two wins have came against positive winning percent having teams and only one win over stronger quality team what was win over Cavaliers without LeBron James.

The material quality is clear edge for Celtics. They have also won seven from the last eigth meetings of the teams. Usually it is not good to play against teams which have the momentum but this time with this material Bucks can not be as big favourite as claimed.

Pick Boston Celtics 2.15 2/10

maanantai 8. maaliskuuta 2010

Wollongong Hawks – Perth Wildcats

9.3.2010 Tuesday - Basketball, NBL

Australian basketball league approaches the last match of the season. Hawks and Wildcats play in the final and the winner is the best of three matches. Wildcats have a chance to end the series since they won the opening at home 75-64.

In Australian basketball league the home-edge is bigger than in many other countries. Hawks have the best record at home during the season 13-1 and won both matches against Wildcats, 94-92 and 109-84. Wildcats were mediacore visitor so the hometeam should have bigger edge in this match than the odds suggest.

Pick Wollogong Hawks 1.70 4/10

sunnuntai 7. maaliskuuta 2010

Orlando Magic - Los Angeles Lakers

7.3.2010 Sunday - NBA

We have a strong hometeam versus another strong team but on the road. Because of the history the teams are waited to have play-offs atmosphere in the game and in playoffs the hometeam has always bigger edge compared to normal league games.

Also Lakers have bad results lately. The team is angry and wants to get better results and what is a better spot for them than in a relatively important game. Anyway it is easier said than done and scarping in the game does not happen in a moment and seldom on the road. The form and home edge are strongly on the side of Magic.

Pick Orlando Magic 1.78 7/10

lauantai 27. helmikuuta 2010

Finland - Slovakia

27.2.2010 Saturday - Ice Hockey Olympics

For Slovakia the bronze-match is a big achievement but they have achieved it by playing. They have fought well but since Finland is more rested to the match I dare not to play Slovakia even they have been so far the better team.

Finland comes to the match after humiliating 6-0 loss for USA in the first set. They have had good goalkeepers and now it is maybe a bit strange but they allow Kiprusoff to continue on the goal in the bronze-match too. I trust he will gather himself to this match. What comes to the offence of Finland there is no much hooray'ing. Some players start to be slow, they have no real shooters from the blueline. Against tougher teams (Sweden, Czech, USA) they have done only three goals. One to the empty net, one "lucky" goal and their goal against USA when USA was not playing anymore 100%.

Slovakia plays one of the most important match of their history and Finland should also want to win the bronze after the humiliating and for them it means discipline game. I wait no many goals in this battle.

Pick Under 5,5 goals 1.63 4/10

Ernests Gulbis - Jarkko Nieminen

27.2.2010 Saturday - Tennis ATP

Delray Beach semifinal match offers pretty clear favourite. Gulbis has been convincing lately and his hard hits are poison for Nieminen on fast court who was once pretty good returner and was able to win the ballralls but nowadays his form has gone down the last years. This year he has won Rufin, Lindahl, Poerschke, Sela, Lorenzi and on the last roud Russian Korolev who was a good match-up against Nieminen but winning the last two sets 6-1 and 6-0 tells almost always more about the problems of the opponent than the quality of the winner. In other words Nieminen has proved nothing on this season and Gulbis has shown good game.

Pick Ernests Gulbis 1.60 5/10

keskiviikko 24. helmikuuta 2010

Los Angeles Clippers - Detroit Pistons

24.2.2010 NBA

Clippers are playing well at home and their players seem to be in form. The odds are higher this time since Pistons has been strong in their last two matches too. Beating Spurs was impressive but not so impressive when you check how many matches Spurs had played in row on the road. Yesterday a win over Kings and now they have their 3rd match in four days and 6th in nine, Clippers have had easier so this favours them too. I am not so big fan of handicap this time because the game can go close and Clippers had their weaker period but they played in that against stronger opponents so I trust they will not fail but will be carefull too at the same time.

Pick Los Angeles Clippers 1.58 4/10

tiistai 23. helmikuuta 2010

Olympiakos - Bordeaux

23.2.2010 Tuesday - Football, Champions League

Neither of these teams are a real top team. Bordeaux is the stronger team out of the two teams but as many times in such situations the underdog knows their place to hit is at home. Bordeaux is not anymore as big defensive might than it once was but their defence still works well. Olympiakos sure tries to make some goals with big heart but they know giving Bordeaux a goal on the road is hard to overcome so I am waiting carefull approach by both teams to the game.

Pick Under 2,5 goals 1.58 7/10

sunnuntai 21. helmikuuta 2010

Samuel Querrey - John Isner

Monday 21.2.2010 ATP Tennis

Two Americans meet each others in the final of Memphis indoors court. Querrey has been extrememly impressive so far in the tournament. His serve works and he has gotten his game forward, he reads the game well and moves better than before.

Isner is a serving machine and the court suits for his forehand but "new" Querrey seems too much for him especially when playing against his previous German opponent his concentration weakened and he had troubles to keep his first serve percentage high. Isner probably will not see many break oppurtunities and Querrey has capability to push more Isner's serve. We will see probably at least one tiebreak which are lotteries but 1.70 odds this time for Querrey are enough to play since keeping his edge over Isner at the moment in mind.

Pick Samuel Querrey 1.70 5/10

Orlando Magic - Cleveland Cavaliers

Sunday 21.2.2010

This is important match for both teams. Cavaliers wants to end their two match lasted losing streak but Magic has more stakes in the game. They have revenge from the match played 11.2 in Cleveland and they lost their last homematch against Mavericks. The team should have great motivation in this game.

Why the motivation of Magic is bigger than the motivation of Cavaliers? At the moment the game of Cavaliers is trying to find the right system for players to play so against a tough hometeam with quality the chances to win drop dramatically.

Cavaliers lost last season in play-offs against Magic mostly because of the match-ups. That is the reason why Shaquille O'Neal came to the team and why Jamison was traded in few days ago.

The public loves Cavaliers in this match because they are a top-team and top-teams will not lose often three matches in row. This time the situation is harder, I wait comfortable win for Magic.

Pick Orlando Magic 1.96 10/10

keskiviikko 10. helmikuuta 2010

Toronto Raptors - Philadelphia 76ers

10.2.2010 Wednesday NBA

Two hot teams meet each others in a match what is the last match before the break for both teams so it is important for both teams, especially Raptors listed their game before and after the all-star break to be their one of their the most important games.

The schedule favours Raptors. They have had time to rest at home when 76ers arrives to Canada from Minnesota. Normally this would be big advantage for Raptors but in this situation I do not see it like that. At first 76ers had easy win yesterday, they did not need any bigger effort and the second reason is that they have the momentum and this is their last game before the break. Usually when a team gets the spirit on, it is many times better to play many games than having easy schedule because as fast as the momentum comes, as fast it can die.

The results of Raptors have been good but 76ers are the team who have something to prove before the break. They have totally underachieved compared to the predictions before the season, after all this team has potential and they are young. The rotation of 76ers seems to work finally and since Toronto has not the strongest defenses in the league I think if 76ers can stay in the pace (Raptors surely will keep it high) and are able to score with the help of their high confidence we might have a surprise here and the visitors exiting the game with 6 wins in a row.

Pick: Philadelphia 76ers 3.32 3/10

tiistai 9. helmikuuta 2010

Indiana Pacers - Chicago Bulls

9.2.2010 Tuesday NBA

Bulls have extremely bad history in the home-stadium of Pacers. They are 3-17 there since 1999.

Pacers are at home 12-13, they have usually good home support so they have underachieved a bit in my opinion. Bulls are better team but 9-17 road record is not too promising for them either.

Deng plays probably for Bulls today but his shoulder form hardly is strong. Anyway if he plays it is good for Bulls since he can guard Granger. For Rose this looks like a high scoring game against a team like Pacers but at home Pacers definitely have the edge and if their streaky 3-point shooters get the shoots to go well, the numbers might get big.

Also the schedule favours Pacers. This is their last match and it is at home before the all-stars break when Bulls will host tomorrow Magic where the minds of the players might already partly be.

Pick Indiana Pacers -2 1.95 4/10

lauantai 30. tammikuuta 2010

Roger Federer - Andy Murray

Sunday 31.1.2010 ATP Tennis - Australian Open Final

The finale of the first Grand Slam tournament of the year 2010 is about to be finished and the final offers a huge value for betting.

Roger Federer has played consistent tennis so far. His only bigger troubes were against Russian Nikolay Davydenko, who against he was losing a set and break. Federer revealed his mental strength and came back.

Andy Murray has been also consistent. His form has been up. He does no many mistakes, his serve is working well what is good since his second serve brought many times troubles for him. Overall the both players have shown relaxed and good tennis so far.

Federer has the edge, what comes to the experience in Grand Slam finals but I cannot see any other edges for him. Murray is bad match-up for Federer. Murray holds his mentality and plays the important points well. He moves well on the court, has a good return game but is also able to hit winners. This is problematic for Federer because he has no one really strong part in his game. He is one of the best players ever but his stregths are the angles and hit selection he is able to use. If his opponent is able to push him a bit more, what is very hard, starts Federer to do higher amount unforced errors than usually. Murray can push Federer and the gameintelligence of Murray is high. I think he can easily chance his gameplan during the game what is always hard for the opponent.

Both players seem to have high self confidence and near their best form. The head to head record is 7-4 for the benefit of Murray. It tells pretty much the story. He is hard opponent for Federer to play against but both have chances to win the game. I hope it will be a great match. Small differences act a great role in the end result and Murray has proved that when the match has been equal, he has been able to play the important points better against Federer since when Federer has won the sets are 9-1 for his benefit but when Murray has won Federer, the six of these meetings have ended in three sets. So I think the longer the match goes the better are the chances of Murray but if it is Federer's day he takes the match without losing a set or one set at maximum. Anyway they are equal against each others so 2.47 definitely represents some big value.

Pick Andy Murray 2.47 9/10

perjantai 22. tammikuuta 2010

Washington Wizards - Miami Heat

Friday 22.1.2010 - NBA

Wizards are at the moment hot team even they are only 2-1 SU in their last two matches. After Arenas was finally taken away from the game because of his gun episode the team has played clearly better. The zone defense is stronger, the team has grown more together and they have still something to play for because even their overall record is bad, 14-27, they are still in the play-off fighting, thanks for the weak quality of Eastern Confrence. Wizards have easy schedule at the moment, this is their fourth home match in row. Heat is expected to bounce back after their big loss in Charlotte but the momentum what Wizards have found should roll on for some time especially at home.

Pick Washington Wizards +1,5 1.93 5/10

torstai 21. tammikuuta 2010

Marin Cilic - Stanislas Wawrinka

Friday 22.2.2010 ATP Tennis

The same players met in Chennai final a bit over week ago. Cilic was better player in a tight match what Cilic dominated slightly. The earlier meetings were 4-0 for Wawrinka but since the last was one and half years ago it does not matter much because Cilic has had some progress in his game and he is still only 21 years old.

Anyway if we watch their history the odds seems right but when we watch closer their Australian Open matches, I start to like Wawrinka more. Wawrinka has had two good performances, good serving and returning without any problems. Cilic won Wawrinka relatively easy but against 17 years old, probably future top tennis player, Bernard Tomic and almost lost the match. All the kudos for Tomic, it was a great match by him but also Cilic made many errors what a player in his best form will not do. The game against Tomic was finished 2am. I think it was different experience for the body and recovery from such match might be harder because you are not used to play at that time. Also the match of today is evening match but it should start a way earlier, approximately 17:00-19:00pm depending how the previous matches on the court are played.

Anyway the value must be on Wawrinka because neither have no big advantage when they play against each others and now Wawrinka seems to be in good form and Cilic in not so good form.

Pick Stanislas Wawrinka 2.15 4/10

tiistai 19. tammikuuta 2010

Tomas Berdych - Evgeny Korolev

Wednesday 20.1.2010 - ATP Tennis

Neither player had no troubles on the first round. Berdych won injury troubled Haase and Korolev Brands. At the start of the season Berdych has a bit more comvincing results and is definitely right favourite to the match against erratic Korolev but Berdych is not mr. stability himself either so making him to be over 75% favourite to the match, where his opponent's gamestyle suits to the court and who has great potential to be dangerous, is absurd. The movement of Berdych has been lately not so good as it was few years ago so Korolev with his hard hits on his good day has decent chances to take the match.

Pick Evgeny Korolev 4.61 4/10

maanantai 18. tammikuuta 2010

Juan Monaco - Ernests Gulbis

Tuesday 19.1.2009

Gulbis suits with his gamestyle to the faster courts and Monaco and his gamestyle give less convincing results on the surfaces as Australian Open is. The higher odds are given because Gulbis have no stability in his results but Grand Slam level tournament should get all his attention. The keys to win the match are in the hands of Gulbis. If he is concentrated and can hit his heavy groundstrokes near lines Monaco has no much left to say.

Pick Ernests Gulbis 1.74 5/10

Memphis Grizzlies - Phoenix Suns

Monday 18.1.2010

Suns are in disastrous road form being 1-10 SU in their last 11 road games losing the game avaragely by five points. They play against health Grizzlies which have won the last eight matches at home. The match is fourts in row on road for Suns while Grizzlies has been playing the last games at home. The only reason why Grizzlies are smaller favourite than they should be is well known opponent against Grizzlies, which are used to know so far during the last seasons lesser tough team.

Pick Memphis Grizzlies -2 2.02 7/10

lauantai 16. tammikuuta 2010

Memphis Grizzlies - San Antonio Spurs

Saturday 16.1.2009

Spurs are old team and their coach has a tradition to save the energy of his best players in hard schedule and this is 4/5 situation for the team. Grizzlies has been during the season stronger than many believed and if Spurs are taking this as a letdown match as the signs promise the match should be in the hands of Grizzlies.

Pick Memphis Grizzlies -1,5 1.96 3/10

Indiana Pacers - New Orleans Hornets

Saturday 16.1.2010

This is a schedule game. Hornets played overtime yesterday and the team is in 5/7 situation. In their normal form they should be more powerfull than Pacers but at the moment Pacers are playing well, fighting well at home and yesterday they did not need to work much to win Nets.

Pick Indiana Pacers -2,5 1.89 4/10

Minnesota Vikings - Dallas Cowboys

Sunday 17.1.2010

Vikings were the other team with Patriots which won all regular season homegames. Patriots was outplayed on last weekend and on this weekend the other hometeam will have hard times. If we check all 8 teams left in NFL at the moment Cowboys has been in the hottest form and also they seem the most balanced. Their offense and defense are good and they have deepness.

Vikings have scary offense what Favre leads, they can run and pass and experienced fox like Favre does not fear the pressure or some hits by Cowboys. Cowboys should get some pressure on Favre or the game might be lost. I think they are able to do this.

The secondary of Vikings is their weakest point. Much rests on the shoulders of Cowboys quarterback Romo. He has had his own play-off demons but as many times one good play-off game is enough to take those demons away. Vikings has the ability to sack Romo so we will see how he manages to hold his mental stage. Unlike during the previous years he has now run offense around him which can help and that should reduce the pressure.

The home advantage is important at this situation but since I see Cowboys more balanced I would favour them slightly.

Pick Dallas Cowboys 2.30 7/10

Charlotte Bobcats - Phoenix Suns

Saturday 16.1.2010

Suns 1-8 road team in their last nine games against 15-4 home team.

That would mean that if the teams would play on neutral ground Phoenix would be about one point favourite. That is close the truth but when we take the game to Charlotte where Bobcats are one of the hottest home teams and Suns with their disastrous roadgames we have to talk about bigger home advantage. Neither the schedule gives any favor for Suns.

Pick Charlotte Bobcats -2 1.95 7/10

perjantai 15. tammikuuta 2010

Stoke - Liverpool

Saturday 16.1.2010

Liverpool misses the offensive power. Of course they have reserves with will to show what they can do but overall Liverpool has been in bad form.

Stoke has made in their last two matches six goals, other match was cup-match. Anyway before this they made seven goals in their previous ten Premier League matches. Though at home in their last six matches if included the last 3-2 win over Fulham, the teams have made 18 goals. On the road Stoke plays with more defensive tactic but when they play at home against one of the top teams the gamestyle probably is more defensive compared to many other home games.

Pick Under 2,5 1.70 3/10

Houston Rockets - Miami Heat

Friday 15.1.2010

Rockets had triple overtime against Timberwolves two days ago. They have had one day rest but that match was back to back match for Rockets and the starters played big minutes which might be advantage for Heat.

Heat play their fifth match row on the road. Dwayne Wade has some problem with his wrist but his game is fine. Heat continue to Oklahoma tomorrow and I think they stake to win this game and check what they have tomorrow to give against Oklahoma but if Rockets have for example 10-points lead before the fourth quarter Heat might give rest for the starters so I think ML has more value than handicap in this situation.

Pick Miami Heat 2.63 3/10

John Isner - Arnaud Clement

Saturday 16.1.2009

Clement has been in his most convincing form for a long time surprising many. He is a bad match up against big servers as Isner is with his strong forehand. If Clement can continue his convincing play the odds should not see him as underdog but the season is at the start and the final form of many players is still mystery.

Pick Arnaud Clement 2.30 2/10

New Jersey Nets - Indiana Pacers

Friday 15.1.2010

The road record of Pacers is 3-16 so it is risky game. Nets are at home 2-16 and I think they are not fighting anymore. They might concentrate to few games they think are important for them and Pacers game should not be among these games.

Nets have avaraged at home a bit under 90 points per game. The defense of Pacers is weak but their offensive end is productive and if Nets are not able to stop the offense of Pacers it will be hard to product scores in the same rhythm.

Pacers should also have the momentum in the team after coming back from 20 points defeat position to win the game in their last two games.

Pick: Indiana Pacers -2,5 1.94 3/10

torstai 14. tammikuuta 2010

Boston Celtics - Chicago Bulls

Thursday 14.1.2010

Celtics has not been on their best without their injured players and even yesterday was easy win where they had no need to stress the best players much, is this 3/4 situation.

Bulls have gotten their game better. Last year they were able to push Celtics in playoffs and I am sure they see now their chance against Celtics which are slightly damaged and in hard schedule. Seeing Bulls to walk away from the match as a winner is not impossible idea but since Bulls have 3-13 record on the road they do not seem worth of SU bet but since they get 6,5 points I think they are worth of the risk with the handicap.

Pick: Chicago Bulls +6,5 1.98 3/10

keskiviikko 13. tammikuuta 2010

Indiana Pacers - Phoenix Suns

Wednesday 13.1.2010

Suns are not so high profiled road team. They are 1-7 SU in their last eight road games.

Pacers has their superstar back and the results of the team have come better. They have won the last three home matches including wins over Magic and huge comeback against tired Raptors.

Raptors win can give the momentum for Pacers. This is a match between teams capable to high scoring. Indiana should be able to start to play their best game of the season especiall at home when Suns has been playing great but after the beginning of the season and especially on the road they have been less convincing.

Pick: Indiana Pacers 2.62 7/10

tiistai 12. tammikuuta 2010

Memphis Grizzlies - Los Angeles Clippers

Tuesday 12.1.2010

Today the teams will meet the fourth time on this season. Two of the previous meetings have ended to under and one over. The line has been 201, 199 and 199 previous and there are few points which are supporting that the line should be lower this time.

Clippers have the momentum and big thanks is for their defense. They have kept their four last opponents avaragely in 90 points (76ers, Trail Blazers, Lakers and Heat)so that is the first thing to support under.

The second point is the tired Grizzlies team. They finally had some good three day rest. Their bench has been less productive lately and after the small break I think they are not able to play as fast as before in the previous meetings.

Pick Under 199 2.02 4/10

maanantai 11. tammikuuta 2010

Boston Celtics - Atlanta Hawks

Monday 11.1.2010

The opening line was 3,5 points. The reason for the chance is the situation of the match. Celtics have instant revenge match against Hawks and they also lost last time while playing against Hawks at home. Celtics usually neither lose twice in a season at home against the same team so many people believe they will handle the match.

Hawks comes to the match after humiliating loss against Magic. The result was humiliating but the team was playing right after Celtic win so it probably did not have their full attention. Hawks should be now motivated to come back to the road of wins and they need no extra motivation against Celtics so it takes a bit away the effect of revenge spot.

Celtics enter to the match also without Kevin Garnett, their best player. The match is back to back and third game in four days. They had no hard work against Raptors yesterday, they took the lead at the start keeping it to the end.

Pick Atlanta Hawks +4,5 1.96 4/10

sunnuntai 10. tammikuuta 2010

Los Angeles Clippers - Miami Heat

Sunday 10.1.2010

Clippers have finally found their chemistry. Baron Davis has also started to play better. The teams which have the momentum are good to bet in NBA. Clippers have won the last five home matches including wins over top teams as Lakers, Celtics and Trail Blazers. Heat has Dwayne Wade and they have good road record but I think the odds makers and public are not counting in the development lately by Clippers and at this situation when they have longest home win streak for a long time they should have motivation to grow it what should make the homeadvantage even bigger to this match.

Pick: Los Angeles Clippers -2 1.92 10/10

Bew England Patriots - Baltimore Ravens

Sunday 10.1.2010

The real games have started. In this NFL elimination game Patriots with huge play off experience face Ravens.

Tom Brady, the star queaterback of Patriots has smaller injuries but I believe he can perform well in tight situation. Patriots are also the only undefeated home team this year. The gamebook of Belicheck has seemed a bit rusty but now we are speaking about the real games and if Patriots cannot bring their best possible game today I would be more than surprised.

Ravens have nice looking stats but they are not telling the whole truth. Ravens were 1-6 against play off teams on the season. Probably they can bring too their A-game to the match but they seem overrated. I think that their secondary is not so good when it faces some serious threath in passing game and Brady-Moss sounds pretty dangerous to me.

Pick: New England Patriots 1.96 8/10

lauantai 9. tammikuuta 2010

Orlando Magic - Atlanta Hawks

Saturday 9.1.2010

Magic made a new record by losing the fourth in row under the control of Steve Van Gundy. The last time the teams met on this season the total was 199. The result was for Orlando 76-93 and now we see much lower line. Hawks had no games for five days before their home game against Magic and I see their bad performance to be reason of bad preparation.

Hawks comes to the match after a nice win over Celtics, their loveable competitor. The team might not be as concentrated today than yesterday. The match is also 3/4 situation for the team.

Magic has had defensive problems and tired legs will not help the situation because the team is in 4/5 situation. I think the right line should be 200 at least.

Pick: Over 196,5 1.98 5/10

Birmingham - Manchester United

Saturday 9.1.2010

Today the weather in England is freezing. Many matches have been cancelled and usually the teams score less in cold weather. United has had small "crise" since losing their Cup match against Leeds and 3-0 against Fulham some time before. Talking about crise is too much but even the team has great quality it has some small problems. Rooney does not get much help at the offense and the middfield is more like well oiled machine instead creative one.

Birmingham is in strong form. This match could be compared to their home match against Chelsea what ended 0-0. Birmingham has played seven under out of their last nine matches. Probably the approach to this match will be defensive too and I have believe in United's defense too.

Pick Under 2,5 1.75 4/10

perjantai 8. tammikuuta 2010

Philadelphia 76ers - Toronto Raptors

Friday 8.1.2010

Raptors are 7-1 in their last eight matches. They are playing at the moment the best game so far during the season and what is the most important, is that their game performances has had consistency.

76ers has been less convincing but you have to count in that they have played only one match after tiring six games roadtour.

Raptors comes to the match after big win over Magic, it was important win and after two days they face Celtics so this match might be letdown match to Raptors. 76ers have not gotten yet their game to roll even Iverson in the team. The play is the team in momentum but because of the schedule low stakes.

Pick Toronto Raptors 2.20 3/10

torstai 7. tammikuuta 2010

New York Knicks - Charlotte Bobcats

Thursday 7.1.2010

Both of the teams have had a good rest and both teams have been in raising form.

Knicks have been known about their offensive game under D'Antoni's coaching but now their defense has chanced to better direction, especially when we talk about perimeter defense. Bobcats uses much perimeter shooting. Knicks have strong offense but Bobcats have the capability to stop their offense.

So far they have met three times during the season. The first match was at the start of the season and two meetings in December ending to 192 and 181 points. I have no reason to believe the total should be much higher than 195.

Pick: Under 199,5 1.98 5/10

keskiviikko 6. tammikuuta 2010

Phoenix Suns - Houston Rockets

Wednesday 6.1.2010

Rockets are able to score much or lesser amount of points depending of the pace. Usually they want to control the space but when Phoenix is at home they are controlling the pace of the game.

Both teams are in back to back situation. In fast pace game I assume the defense gets less attention than normally.

Pick: Over 215,5 2.02 5/10

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards

Wednesday 1.6.2010

Cavaliers are a rested team. They are hard team to beat at home especially now when they lost against Bobcats three days before in their previous match.

Wizards are coming to the match after a good win yesterday. The schedule favours Cavaliers.

The handicap is big but we must remember the recent history between these teams. Wizards have been pushing Cavaliers during the last two years since Cavaliers won their playoff game. They are playing hard knowing how to play if watching the results. The games have been tight ones.

Wizards have been playing many times on this season bad second half and now they are in back to back situation facing rested and good defensive team. The biggest weapon of Wizards is still offense. I believe the game is tight at the beginning but in the end it is easy for Cavaliers to win the match with buig numbers since coach will not give game time for his starplayers if they are losing the match.

Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers -13,5 2.03, the stakes 6/10