10.3.2010 Wednesday - NBA
I do not like to watch linestats too often while betting but this time the previous lines effect much to the decision to bet. While Mavericks have been high favourite the underdog covers the line when we check the nearhistory. Nets have covered the line effectively too in their last matches. Mavericks are at the moment a hot team but Nets have started to play better too and because of the last season transfers Nets should have some motivation to get a good result from this match.
Pick New Jersey Nets +11 1.95 4/10
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keskiviikko 10. maaliskuuta 2010
torstai 21. tammikuuta 2010
Marin Cilic - Stanislas Wawrinka
Friday 22.2.2010 ATP Tennis
The same players met in Chennai final a bit over week ago. Cilic was better player in a tight match what Cilic dominated slightly. The earlier meetings were 4-0 for Wawrinka but since the last was one and half years ago it does not matter much because Cilic has had some progress in his game and he is still only 21 years old.
Anyway if we watch their history the odds seems right but when we watch closer their Australian Open matches, I start to like Wawrinka more. Wawrinka has had two good performances, good serving and returning without any problems. Cilic won Wawrinka relatively easy but against 17 years old, probably future top tennis player, Bernard Tomic and almost lost the match. All the kudos for Tomic, it was a great match by him but also Cilic made many errors what a player in his best form will not do. The game against Tomic was finished 2am. I think it was different experience for the body and recovery from such match might be harder because you are not used to play at that time. Also the match of today is evening match but it should start a way earlier, approximately 17:00-19:00pm depending how the previous matches on the court are played.
Anyway the value must be on Wawrinka because neither have no big advantage when they play against each others and now Wawrinka seems to be in good form and Cilic in not so good form.
Pick Stanislas Wawrinka 2.15 4/10
The same players met in Chennai final a bit over week ago. Cilic was better player in a tight match what Cilic dominated slightly. The earlier meetings were 4-0 for Wawrinka but since the last was one and half years ago it does not matter much because Cilic has had some progress in his game and he is still only 21 years old.
Anyway if we watch their history the odds seems right but when we watch closer their Australian Open matches, I start to like Wawrinka more. Wawrinka has had two good performances, good serving and returning without any problems. Cilic won Wawrinka relatively easy but against 17 years old, probably future top tennis player, Bernard Tomic and almost lost the match. All the kudos for Tomic, it was a great match by him but also Cilic made many errors what a player in his best form will not do. The game against Tomic was finished 2am. I think it was different experience for the body and recovery from such match might be harder because you are not used to play at that time. Also the match of today is evening match but it should start a way earlier, approximately 17:00-19:00pm depending how the previous matches on the court are played.
Anyway the value must be on Wawrinka because neither have no big advantage when they play against each others and now Wawrinka seems to be in good form and Cilic in not so good form.
Pick Stanislas Wawrinka 2.15 4/10
maanantai 18. tammikuuta 2010
Juan Monaco - Ernests Gulbis
Tuesday 19.1.2009
Gulbis suits with his gamestyle to the faster courts and Monaco and his gamestyle give less convincing results on the surfaces as Australian Open is. The higher odds are given because Gulbis have no stability in his results but Grand Slam level tournament should get all his attention. The keys to win the match are in the hands of Gulbis. If he is concentrated and can hit his heavy groundstrokes near lines Monaco has no much left to say.
Pick Ernests Gulbis 1.74 5/10
Gulbis suits with his gamestyle to the faster courts and Monaco and his gamestyle give less convincing results on the surfaces as Australian Open is. The higher odds are given because Gulbis have no stability in his results but Grand Slam level tournament should get all his attention. The keys to win the match are in the hands of Gulbis. If he is concentrated and can hit his heavy groundstrokes near lines Monaco has no much left to say.
Pick Ernests Gulbis 1.74 5/10
lauantai 16. tammikuuta 2010
Memphis Grizzlies - San Antonio Spurs
Saturday 16.1.2009
Spurs are old team and their coach has a tradition to save the energy of his best players in hard schedule and this is 4/5 situation for the team. Grizzlies has been during the season stronger than many believed and if Spurs are taking this as a letdown match as the signs promise the match should be in the hands of Grizzlies.
Pick Memphis Grizzlies -1,5 1.96 3/10
Spurs are old team and their coach has a tradition to save the energy of his best players in hard schedule and this is 4/5 situation for the team. Grizzlies has been during the season stronger than many believed and if Spurs are taking this as a letdown match as the signs promise the match should be in the hands of Grizzlies.
Pick Memphis Grizzlies -1,5 1.96 3/10
Indiana Pacers - New Orleans Hornets
Saturday 16.1.2010
This is a schedule game. Hornets played overtime yesterday and the team is in 5/7 situation. In their normal form they should be more powerfull than Pacers but at the moment Pacers are playing well, fighting well at home and yesterday they did not need to work much to win Nets.
Pick Indiana Pacers -2,5 1.89 4/10
This is a schedule game. Hornets played overtime yesterday and the team is in 5/7 situation. In their normal form they should be more powerfull than Pacers but at the moment Pacers are playing well, fighting well at home and yesterday they did not need to work much to win Nets.
Pick Indiana Pacers -2,5 1.89 4/10
Minnesota Vikings - Dallas Cowboys
Sunday 17.1.2010
Vikings were the other team with Patriots which won all regular season homegames. Patriots was outplayed on last weekend and on this weekend the other hometeam will have hard times. If we check all 8 teams left in NFL at the moment Cowboys has been in the hottest form and also they seem the most balanced. Their offense and defense are good and they have deepness.
Vikings have scary offense what Favre leads, they can run and pass and experienced fox like Favre does not fear the pressure or some hits by Cowboys. Cowboys should get some pressure on Favre or the game might be lost. I think they are able to do this.
The secondary of Vikings is their weakest point. Much rests on the shoulders of Cowboys quarterback Romo. He has had his own play-off demons but as many times one good play-off game is enough to take those demons away. Vikings has the ability to sack Romo so we will see how he manages to hold his mental stage. Unlike during the previous years he has now run offense around him which can help and that should reduce the pressure.
The home advantage is important at this situation but since I see Cowboys more balanced I would favour them slightly.
Pick Dallas Cowboys 2.30 7/10
Vikings were the other team with Patriots which won all regular season homegames. Patriots was outplayed on last weekend and on this weekend the other hometeam will have hard times. If we check all 8 teams left in NFL at the moment Cowboys has been in the hottest form and also they seem the most balanced. Their offense and defense are good and they have deepness.
Vikings have scary offense what Favre leads, they can run and pass and experienced fox like Favre does not fear the pressure or some hits by Cowboys. Cowboys should get some pressure on Favre or the game might be lost. I think they are able to do this.
The secondary of Vikings is their weakest point. Much rests on the shoulders of Cowboys quarterback Romo. He has had his own play-off demons but as many times one good play-off game is enough to take those demons away. Vikings has the ability to sack Romo so we will see how he manages to hold his mental stage. Unlike during the previous years he has now run offense around him which can help and that should reduce the pressure.
The home advantage is important at this situation but since I see Cowboys more balanced I would favour them slightly.
Pick Dallas Cowboys 2.30 7/10
perjantai 15. tammikuuta 2010
Houston Rockets - Miami Heat
Friday 15.1.2010
Rockets had triple overtime against Timberwolves two days ago. They have had one day rest but that match was back to back match for Rockets and the starters played big minutes which might be advantage for Heat.
Heat play their fifth match row on the road. Dwayne Wade has some problem with his wrist but his game is fine. Heat continue to Oklahoma tomorrow and I think they stake to win this game and check what they have tomorrow to give against Oklahoma but if Rockets have for example 10-points lead before the fourth quarter Heat might give rest for the starters so I think ML has more value than handicap in this situation.
Pick Miami Heat 2.63 3/10
Rockets had triple overtime against Timberwolves two days ago. They have had one day rest but that match was back to back match for Rockets and the starters played big minutes which might be advantage for Heat.
Heat play their fifth match row on the road. Dwayne Wade has some problem with his wrist but his game is fine. Heat continue to Oklahoma tomorrow and I think they stake to win this game and check what they have tomorrow to give against Oklahoma but if Rockets have for example 10-points lead before the fourth quarter Heat might give rest for the starters so I think ML has more value than handicap in this situation.
Pick Miami Heat 2.63 3/10
John Isner - Arnaud Clement
Saturday 16.1.2009
Clement has been in his most convincing form for a long time surprising many. He is a bad match up against big servers as Isner is with his strong forehand. If Clement can continue his convincing play the odds should not see him as underdog but the season is at the start and the final form of many players is still mystery.
Pick Arnaud Clement 2.30 2/10
Clement has been in his most convincing form for a long time surprising many. He is a bad match up against big servers as Isner is with his strong forehand. If Clement can continue his convincing play the odds should not see him as underdog but the season is at the start and the final form of many players is still mystery.
Pick Arnaud Clement 2.30 2/10
New Jersey Nets - Indiana Pacers
Friday 15.1.2010
The road record of Pacers is 3-16 so it is risky game. Nets are at home 2-16 and I think they are not fighting anymore. They might concentrate to few games they think are important for them and Pacers game should not be among these games.
Nets have avaraged at home a bit under 90 points per game. The defense of Pacers is weak but their offensive end is productive and if Nets are not able to stop the offense of Pacers it will be hard to product scores in the same rhythm.
Pacers should also have the momentum in the team after coming back from 20 points defeat position to win the game in their last two games.
Pick: Indiana Pacers -2,5 1.94 3/10
The road record of Pacers is 3-16 so it is risky game. Nets are at home 2-16 and I think they are not fighting anymore. They might concentrate to few games they think are important for them and Pacers game should not be among these games.
Nets have avaraged at home a bit under 90 points per game. The defense of Pacers is weak but their offensive end is productive and if Nets are not able to stop the offense of Pacers it will be hard to product scores in the same rhythm.
Pacers should also have the momentum in the team after coming back from 20 points defeat position to win the game in their last two games.
Pick: Indiana Pacers -2,5 1.94 3/10
torstai 14. tammikuuta 2010
Boston Celtics - Chicago Bulls
Thursday 14.1.2010
Celtics has not been on their best without their injured players and even yesterday was easy win where they had no need to stress the best players much, is this 3/4 situation.
Bulls have gotten their game better. Last year they were able to push Celtics in playoffs and I am sure they see now their chance against Celtics which are slightly damaged and in hard schedule. Seeing Bulls to walk away from the match as a winner is not impossible idea but since Bulls have 3-13 record on the road they do not seem worth of SU bet but since they get 6,5 points I think they are worth of the risk with the handicap.
Pick: Chicago Bulls +6,5 1.98 3/10
Celtics has not been on their best without their injured players and even yesterday was easy win where they had no need to stress the best players much, is this 3/4 situation.
Bulls have gotten their game better. Last year they were able to push Celtics in playoffs and I am sure they see now their chance against Celtics which are slightly damaged and in hard schedule. Seeing Bulls to walk away from the match as a winner is not impossible idea but since Bulls have 3-13 record on the road they do not seem worth of SU bet but since they get 6,5 points I think they are worth of the risk with the handicap.
Pick: Chicago Bulls +6,5 1.98 3/10
keskiviikko 13. tammikuuta 2010
Indiana Pacers - Phoenix Suns
Wednesday 13.1.2010
Suns are not so high profiled road team. They are 1-7 SU in their last eight road games.
Pacers has their superstar back and the results of the team have come better. They have won the last three home matches including wins over Magic and huge comeback against tired Raptors.
Raptors win can give the momentum for Pacers. This is a match between teams capable to high scoring. Indiana should be able to start to play their best game of the season especiall at home when Suns has been playing great but after the beginning of the season and especially on the road they have been less convincing.
Pick: Indiana Pacers 2.62 7/10
Suns are not so high profiled road team. They are 1-7 SU in their last eight road games.
Pacers has their superstar back and the results of the team have come better. They have won the last three home matches including wins over Magic and huge comeback against tired Raptors.
Raptors win can give the momentum for Pacers. This is a match between teams capable to high scoring. Indiana should be able to start to play their best game of the season especiall at home when Suns has been playing great but after the beginning of the season and especially on the road they have been less convincing.
Pick: Indiana Pacers 2.62 7/10
tiistai 12. tammikuuta 2010
Memphis Grizzlies - Los Angeles Clippers
Tuesday 12.1.2010
Today the teams will meet the fourth time on this season. Two of the previous meetings have ended to under and one over. The line has been 201, 199 and 199 previous and there are few points which are supporting that the line should be lower this time.
Clippers have the momentum and big thanks is for their defense. They have kept their four last opponents avaragely in 90 points (76ers, Trail Blazers, Lakers and Heat)so that is the first thing to support under.
The second point is the tired Grizzlies team. They finally had some good three day rest. Their bench has been less productive lately and after the small break I think they are not able to play as fast as before in the previous meetings.
Pick Under 199 2.02 4/10
Today the teams will meet the fourth time on this season. Two of the previous meetings have ended to under and one over. The line has been 201, 199 and 199 previous and there are few points which are supporting that the line should be lower this time.
Clippers have the momentum and big thanks is for their defense. They have kept their four last opponents avaragely in 90 points (76ers, Trail Blazers, Lakers and Heat)so that is the first thing to support under.
The second point is the tired Grizzlies team. They finally had some good three day rest. Their bench has been less productive lately and after the small break I think they are not able to play as fast as before in the previous meetings.
Pick Under 199 2.02 4/10
maanantai 11. tammikuuta 2010
Boston Celtics - Atlanta Hawks
Monday 11.1.2010
The opening line was 3,5 points. The reason for the chance is the situation of the match. Celtics have instant revenge match against Hawks and they also lost last time while playing against Hawks at home. Celtics usually neither lose twice in a season at home against the same team so many people believe they will handle the match.
Hawks comes to the match after humiliating loss against Magic. The result was humiliating but the team was playing right after Celtic win so it probably did not have their full attention. Hawks should be now motivated to come back to the road of wins and they need no extra motivation against Celtics so it takes a bit away the effect of revenge spot.
Celtics enter to the match also without Kevin Garnett, their best player. The match is back to back and third game in four days. They had no hard work against Raptors yesterday, they took the lead at the start keeping it to the end.
Pick Atlanta Hawks +4,5 1.96 4/10
The opening line was 3,5 points. The reason for the chance is the situation of the match. Celtics have instant revenge match against Hawks and they also lost last time while playing against Hawks at home. Celtics usually neither lose twice in a season at home against the same team so many people believe they will handle the match.
Hawks comes to the match after humiliating loss against Magic. The result was humiliating but the team was playing right after Celtic win so it probably did not have their full attention. Hawks should be now motivated to come back to the road of wins and they need no extra motivation against Celtics so it takes a bit away the effect of revenge spot.
Celtics enter to the match also without Kevin Garnett, their best player. The match is back to back and third game in four days. They had no hard work against Raptors yesterday, they took the lead at the start keeping it to the end.
Pick Atlanta Hawks +4,5 1.96 4/10
sunnuntai 10. tammikuuta 2010
Los Angeles Clippers - Miami Heat
Sunday 10.1.2010
Clippers have finally found their chemistry. Baron Davis has also started to play better. The teams which have the momentum are good to bet in NBA. Clippers have won the last five home matches including wins over top teams as Lakers, Celtics and Trail Blazers. Heat has Dwayne Wade and they have good road record but I think the odds makers and public are not counting in the development lately by Clippers and at this situation when they have longest home win streak for a long time they should have motivation to grow it what should make the homeadvantage even bigger to this match.
Pick: Los Angeles Clippers -2 1.92 10/10
Clippers have finally found their chemistry. Baron Davis has also started to play better. The teams which have the momentum are good to bet in NBA. Clippers have won the last five home matches including wins over top teams as Lakers, Celtics and Trail Blazers. Heat has Dwayne Wade and they have good road record but I think the odds makers and public are not counting in the development lately by Clippers and at this situation when they have longest home win streak for a long time they should have motivation to grow it what should make the homeadvantage even bigger to this match.
Pick: Los Angeles Clippers -2 1.92 10/10
Bew England Patriots - Baltimore Ravens
Sunday 10.1.2010
The real games have started. In this NFL elimination game Patriots with huge play off experience face Ravens.
Tom Brady, the star queaterback of Patriots has smaller injuries but I believe he can perform well in tight situation. Patriots are also the only undefeated home team this year. The gamebook of Belicheck has seemed a bit rusty but now we are speaking about the real games and if Patriots cannot bring their best possible game today I would be more than surprised.
Ravens have nice looking stats but they are not telling the whole truth. Ravens were 1-6 against play off teams on the season. Probably they can bring too their A-game to the match but they seem overrated. I think that their secondary is not so good when it faces some serious threath in passing game and Brady-Moss sounds pretty dangerous to me.
Pick: New England Patriots 1.96 8/10
The real games have started. In this NFL elimination game Patriots with huge play off experience face Ravens.
Tom Brady, the star queaterback of Patriots has smaller injuries but I believe he can perform well in tight situation. Patriots are also the only undefeated home team this year. The gamebook of Belicheck has seemed a bit rusty but now we are speaking about the real games and if Patriots cannot bring their best possible game today I would be more than surprised.
Ravens have nice looking stats but they are not telling the whole truth. Ravens were 1-6 against play off teams on the season. Probably they can bring too their A-game to the match but they seem overrated. I think that their secondary is not so good when it faces some serious threath in passing game and Brady-Moss sounds pretty dangerous to me.
Pick: New England Patriots 1.96 8/10
lauantai 9. tammikuuta 2010
Birmingham - Manchester United
Saturday 9.1.2010
Today the weather in England is freezing. Many matches have been cancelled and usually the teams score less in cold weather. United has had small "crise" since losing their Cup match against Leeds and 3-0 against Fulham some time before. Talking about crise is too much but even the team has great quality it has some small problems. Rooney does not get much help at the offense and the middfield is more like well oiled machine instead creative one.
Birmingham is in strong form. This match could be compared to their home match against Chelsea what ended 0-0. Birmingham has played seven under out of their last nine matches. Probably the approach to this match will be defensive too and I have believe in United's defense too.
Pick Under 2,5 1.75 4/10
Today the weather in England is freezing. Many matches have been cancelled and usually the teams score less in cold weather. United has had small "crise" since losing their Cup match against Leeds and 3-0 against Fulham some time before. Talking about crise is too much but even the team has great quality it has some small problems. Rooney does not get much help at the offense and the middfield is more like well oiled machine instead creative one.
Birmingham is in strong form. This match could be compared to their home match against Chelsea what ended 0-0. Birmingham has played seven under out of their last nine matches. Probably the approach to this match will be defensive too and I have believe in United's defense too.
Pick Under 2,5 1.75 4/10
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